Items where Author is "Stainforth, David A."

Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina, Dessai, Suraje, Risbey, James S., Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Thompson, Erica (2024) Perspectives on the quality of climate information for adaptation decision support. Climatic Change, 177 (11). ISSN 0165-0009

Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588, Calel, Raphael, Chapman, Sandra C., Chechkin, Aleksei, Klages, Rainer and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2024) The challenge of non-Markovian energy balance models in climate. Chaos, 34 (7). ISSN 1054-1500

de Melo Virissimo, Francisco, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Bröcker, Jochen (2024) The evolution of a non-autonomous chaotic system under non-periodic forcing: a climate change example. Chaos, 34 (1). ISSN 1054-1500

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2024) Little floods everywhere: what will climate change mean for you? Climatic Change. ISSN 0165-0009 (In Press)

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2023) Q and A with David Stainforth on Predicting our climate future: what we know, what we don’t know, and what we can’t know. LSE Review of Books (16 Nov 2023). Blog Entry.

Rising, James, Tedesco, Marco, Piontek, Franziska and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2022) The missing risks of climate change. Nature, 610. 643–651. ISSN 0028-0836

Cael, B.B., Britten, G. L., Calafat, Mir, Bloch-Johnson, J., Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Goodwin, Philip (2022) Climate nonlinearities: selection, uncertainty, projections, & damages. Environmental Research Letters. ISSN 1748-9326 (In Press)

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Calel, Raphael (2021) The economics of global climate variability. US CLIVAR Variations, 20 (1). pp. 13-17.

Katzav, Joel, Thompson, Erica L., Risbey, James, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Bradley, Seamus and Frisch, Mathias (2021) On the appropriate and inappropriate uses of probability distributions in climate projections and some alternatives. Climatic Change, 169 (1-2). ISSN 0165-0009

Pacchetti, Marina Baldissera, Dessai, Suraje, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Bradley, Seamus (2021) Assessing the quality of state-of-the-art regional climate information: the case of the UK Climate Projections 2018. Climatic Change, 168 (1-2). ISSN 0165-0009

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2021) Polluter pays policy could speed up emission reductions and removal of atmospheric CO2. Nature, 596 (7872). 346 - 347. ISSN 0028-0836

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2021) The effects of assigning liability for CO2 removal. Nature. ISSN 0028-0836

Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588, Chapman, Sandra C., Chechkin, Aleksei, Ford, Ian, Klages, Rainer and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2021) On generalized Langevin dynamics and the modelling of global mean temperature. In: Braha, Dan, de Aguiar, Marcus A., Gershenson, Carlos, Morales, Alfredo J., Kaufman, Les, Naumova, Elena N., Minai, Ali A. and Bar-Yam, Yaneer, (eds.) Unifying Themes in Complex Systems X: Proceedings of the Tenth International Conference on Complex Systems. Springer Proceedings in Complexity. Springer Science and Business Media B.V., 433 - 441. ISBN 9783030673178

Pacchetti, Marina Baldissera, Dessai, Suraje, Bradley, Seamus and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2021) Assessing the quality of regional climate information. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (3). E476 - E491. ISSN 0003-0007

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Calel, Raphael (2020) New priorities for climate science and climate economics in the 2020s. Nature Communications, 11 (1). ISSN 2041-1723

Calel, Raphael, Chapman, S.C., Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588 (2020) Temperature variability implies greater economic damages from climate change. Nature Communications, 11 (1). ISSN 2041-1723

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2019) Improving the use of evidence from climate models 2008-2013. [Dataset]

Harrison, Stephan, Mighall, Tim, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Allen, Philip, Macklin, Mark, Anderson, Edward, Knight, Jasper, Mauquoy, Dmitri, Passmore, David, Rea, Brice, Spagnolo, Matteo and Shannon, Sarah (2019) Uncertainty in geomorphological responses to climate change. Climatic Change, 156 (1-2). pp. 69-86. ISSN 1573-1480

Chapman, S.C., Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588 and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2019) Warming trends in summer heatwaves. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (3). pp. 1634-1640. ISSN 0094-8276

Shepherd, Theodore G., Boyd, Emily, Calel, Raphael A., Chapman, Sandra C., Dessai, Suraje, Dima-West, Ioana M., Fowler, Hayley J., James, Rachel, Maraun, Douglas, Martius, Olivia, Senior, Catherine A., Sobel, Adam H., Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Tett, Simon F. B., Trenberth, Kevin E., van den Hurk, Bart J. J. M., Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588, Wilby, Robert L. and Zenghelis, Dimitri A. (2018) Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change. Climatic Change. ISSN 0165-0009

Dessai, Suraje, Bhave, Ajay Gajanan, Birch, Cathryn, Conway, Declan ORCID: 0000-0002-4590-6733, Garcia-Carreras, Luis, Gosling, John Paul, Mittal, Neha and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2018) Building narratives to characterise uncertainty in regional climate change through expert elicitation. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (7). 074005. ISSN 1748-9326

Bhave, Ajay Gajanan, Conway, Declan ORCID: 0000-0002-4590-6733, Dessai, Suraje and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2018) Water resource planning under future climate and socioeconomic uncertainty in the Cauvery River Basin in Karnataka, India. Water Resources Research, 54 (2). pp. 708-728. ISSN 0043-1397

Smith, Leonard A. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2018) Getting weather back into the definition of climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 0003-0007

Calel, Raphael and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2017) On the physics of three integrated assessment models. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (6). pp. 1199-1216. ISSN 0003-0007

Bhave, Ajay Gajanan, Conway, Declan ORCID: 0000-0002-4590-6733, Dessai, Suraje and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2017) Barriers and opportunities for robust decision making approaches to support climate change adaptation in the developing world. Climate Risk Management, 14. pp. 1-10. ISSN 2212-0963

Hawkins, Ed, Smith, Robin S., Gregory, Jonathan M. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2016) Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections. Climate Dynamics, 46 (11). pp. 3807-3819. ISSN 0930-7575

Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Smith, Leonard A. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2015) An assessment of the foundational assumptions inhigh-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese, 192 (12). pp. 3979-4008. ISSN 1573-0964

Calel, Raphael, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Dietz, Simon ORCID: 0000-0001-5002-018X (2015) Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 127-141. ISSN 0165-0009

Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2015) On quantifying the climate of the nonautonomous lorenz-63 model. Chaos, 25 (4). ISSN 1054-1500

Hazeleger, W., van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., Min, E., van Oldenborgh, G.J., Petersen, A.C., Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Vasileiadou, E. and Smith, L. A. (2015) Tales of future weather. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 107-113. ISSN 1758-678X

Wesselink, Anna, Challinor, Andrew Juan, Watson, James, Beven, Keith, Allen, Icarus, Hanlon, Helen, Lopez, Ana, Lorenz, Susanne, Otto, Friederike E. L., Morse, Andy, Rye, Cameron, Saux-Picard, Stephane, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Suckling, Emma B. (2015) Equipped to deal with uncertainty in climate and impacts predictions: lessons from internal peer review. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 1-14. ISSN 0165-0009

Chapman, Sandra C., Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588 (2015) Limits to the quantification of local climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (9). 094018. ISSN 1748-9326

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2014) Climate projection: testing climate assumptions. Nature Climate Change, 4 (4). pp. 248-249. ISSN 1758-678X

Daron, Joseph D. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2014) Assessing pricing assumptions for weather index insurance in a changing climate. Climate Risk Management, 1. pp. 76-91. ISSN 2212-0963

Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Smith, Leonard A. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2013) The myopia of imperfect climate models: the case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science, 80 (5). pp. 886-897. ISSN 0031-8248

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Chapman, Sandra C. and Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588 (2013) Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). ISSN 1748-9326

Daron, Joseph D. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2013) On predicting climate under climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). ISSN 1748-9326

Gibbs, Peter, Hanlon, Michael, Hardaker, Paul, Hawkins, Ed, MacDonald, Averil, Maskell, Kathy, Mayfield, Heather, Mclean, Angela, Morris, Elizabeth, Mylne, Ken, Naylor, Mark, Palmer, Tim, Rawlins, Michael, Royse, Katherine, Smith, Leonard, So, Emily, Spiegelhalter, David, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Stewart, Ian, Tyler, Chris, de Vocht, Frank, Brown, Tracey and Innocent, Tabitha (2013) Making sense of uncertainty: why uncertainty is part of science. . Sense About Science, London.

Chapman, Sandra C., Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588 (2013) On estimating local long-term climate trends. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 371 (1991). ISSN 1364-503X

Millner, Antony, Calel, Raphael, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and MacKerron, George (2012) Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists' uncertainty about climate change? Climatic Change, 116 (2). pp. 427-436. ISSN 0165-0009

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Smith, Leonard A. (2012) Policy: clarify the limits of climate models. Nature, 489 (7415). p. 208. ISSN 0028-0836

Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Smith, Leonard A. (2010) Adaptation to global warming: do climate models tell us what we need to know? Philosophy of Science, 77 (5). pp. 1012-1028. ISSN 0031-8248

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2010) Probabilistic regional and seasonal predictions of twenty-first century temperature and precipitation. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment (23). Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London, UK.

Rougier, Jonathan, Sexton, David M. H, Murphy, James M. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2009) Analyzing the climate sensitivity of the HadSM3 climate model using ensembles from different but related experiments. Journal of Climate, 22 (13). pp. 3540-3557. ISSN 0894-8755

Sanderson, Benjamin M., Knutti, R., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Faull, N., Frame, D. J., Ingram, W. J., Piani, C., Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Stone, D. A. and Allen, M. R. (2008) Constraints on model response to greenhouse gas forcing and the role of subgrid-scale processes. Journal of Climate, 21 (11). pp. 2384-2400. ISSN 0894-8755

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Allen, M. R., Tredger, Edward and Smith, Leonard A. (2007) Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 365 (1857). pp. 2145-2161. ISSN 1364-503X

Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Aina, T., Christensen, C., Collins, M., Faull, N., Frame, D. J., Kettleborough, J. A., Knight, S., Martin, A., Murphy, J. M., Piani, C., Sexton, D., Smith, Leonard A., Spicer, R. A., Thorpe, A. J. and Allen, M. R. (2005) Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases. Nature, 433 (7024). pp. 403-406. ISSN 0028-0836