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Making sense of uncertainty: why uncertainty is part of science

Gibbs, Peter, Hanlon, Michael, Hardaker, Paul, Hawkins, Ed, MacDonald, Averil, Maskell, Kathy, Mayfield, Heather, Mclean, Angela, Morris, Elizabeth, Mylne, Ken, Naylor, Mark, Palmer, Tim, Rawlins, Michael, Royse, Katherine, Smith, Leonard, So, Emily, Spiegelhalter, David, Stainforth, David A., Stewart, Ian, Tyler, Chris, de Vocht, Frank, Brown, Tracey and Innocent, Tabitha (2013) Making sense of uncertainty: why uncertainty is part of science. Sense About Science, London.

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Abstract

Scientific uncertainty is prominent in research that has big implications for our society: could the Arctic be ice-free in summer by 2080? Will a new cancer drug be worth its side effects? Is this strain of ‘flu going to be a dangerous epidemic? Uncertainty is normal currency in scientific research. Research goes on because we don’t know everything. Researchers then have to estimate how much of the picture is known and how confident we can all be that their findings tell us what’s happening or what’s going to happen. This is uncertainty.

Item Type: Monograph (Report)
Official URL: http://www.senseaboutscience.org/
Additional Information: © 2013 Sense About Science
Library of Congress subject classification: Q Science > Q Science (General)
Sets: Departments > Statistics
Research centres and groups > Centre for the Analysis of Time Series (CATS)
Rights: http://www.lse.ac.uk/library/usingTheLibrary/academicSupport/OA/depositYourResearch.aspx
Date Deposited: 27 Aug 2013 09:55
URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/52022/

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