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Frigg, Roman 
ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907 and Smith, Leonard A.
(2022)
An ineffective antidote for hawkmoths.
European Journal for Philosophy of Science, 12 (2).
ISSN 1879-4912
Smith, Leonard A., Du, Hailiang and Higgins, Sarah (2020) Designing multi-model applications with surrogate forecast systems. Monthly Weather Review, 148 (6). 2233 - 2249. ISSN 0027-0644
Thompson, Erica L. and Smith, Leonard A. (2019) Escape from model-land. Economics, 13. ISSN 1864-6042
Berger, James O. and Smith, Leonard A. (2019) On the statistical formalism of uncertainty quantification. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 6. pp. 433-460. ISSN 2326-8298
Theocharis, Zoe, Smith, Leonard A. and Harvey, Nigel (2018) The influence of graphical format on judgmental forecasting accuracy: lines versus points. Futures and Foresight Science. ISSN 2573-5152
Jarman, Alexander and Smith, Leonard A. (2018) Quantifying the predictability of a predictand: demonstrating the diverse roles of serial dependence in the estimation of forecast skill. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009
Smith, Leonard A. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X
(2018)
Getting weather back into the definition of climate.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
ISSN 0003-0007
Berger, J. and Smith, Leonard A. (2018) Uncertainty quantification. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application. ISSN 2326-8298
Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A. (2017) Multi-model cross-pollination in time. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 353-4. pp. 31-38. ISSN 0167-2789
Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A. (2017) Rising above chaotic likelihoods. SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5 (1). pp. 246-258. ISSN 2166-2525
Machete, Reason L. and Smith, Leonard A. (2016) Demonstrating the value of larger ensembles in forecasting physical systems. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 68. ISSN 0280-6495
Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Smith, Leonard A. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X
(2015)
An assessment of the foundational assumptions inhigh-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09.
Synthese, 192 (12).
pp. 3979-4008.
ISSN 1573-0964
Smith, Leonard A., Suckling, Emma B., Thompson, Erica L., Maynard, Trevor and Du, Hailiang (2015) Towards improving the framework for probabilistic forecast evaluation. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 31-45. ISSN 0165-0009
Smith, Leonard A., Du, Hailiang, Suckling, Emma B. and Niehörster, Falk (2015) Probabilistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 1085-1100. ISSN 0035-9009
Lopez, Ana, Suckling, Emma B. and Smith, Leonard A. (2014) Robustness of pattern scaled climate change scenarios for adaptation decision support. Climatic Change, 122 (4). pp. 555-566. ISSN 0165-0009
Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A. (2014) Pseudo-orbit data assimilation. part I: the perfect model scenario. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71 (2). pp. 469-482. ISSN 0022-4928
Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A. (2014) Pseudo-orbit data assimilation. part II: the perfect model scenario. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71 (2). pp. 483-495. ISSN 0022-4928
Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A.
(2014)
Laplace's demon and the adventures of his apprentices.
Philosophy of Science, 81 (1).
31 - 59.
ISSN 0031-8248
Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Smith, Leonard A. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X
(2013)
The myopia of imperfect climate models: the case of UKCP09.
Philosophy of Science, 80 (5).
pp. 886-897.
ISSN 0031-8248
Glendinning, Paul and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) Lacunarity and period-doubling. Dynamical Systems. pp. 1-11. ISSN 1468-9367
Suckling, Emma B. and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from state-of-the-art climate models. Journal of Climate, 26 (23). pp. 9334-9347. ISSN 0894-8755
Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A. (2012) Parameter estimation through ignorance. Physical Review E, 86 (1). 016213. ISSN 2470-0045
Beven, Keith, Buytaert, Wouter and Smith, Leonard A. (2012) On virtual observatories and modelled realities (or why discharge must be treated as a virtual variable). Hydrological Processes, 26 (12). pp. 1905-1908. ISSN 0885-6087
Rowlands, Daniel J., Frame, David J., Ackerley, Duncan, Aina, Tolu, Booth, Ben B. B., Christensen, Carl, Collins, Matthew, Faull, Nicholas, Forest, Chris E., Grandey, Benjamin S., Gryspeerdt, Edward, Highwood, Eleanor J., Ingram, William J., Knight, Sylvia, Lopez, Ana, Massey, Neil, McNamara, Frances, Meinshausen, Nicolai, Piani, Claudio, Rosier, Suzanne M., Sanderson, Benjamin M., Smith, Leonard A., Stone, Dáithí A., Thurston, Milo, Yamazaki, Kuniko, Hiro Yamazaki, Y. and Allen, Myles R. (2012) Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble. Nature Geoscience, 5 (4). pp. 256-260. ISSN 1752-0894
Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Smith, Leonard A.
(2012)
Policy: clarify the limits of climate models.
Nature, 489 (7415).
p. 208.
ISSN 0028-0836
Khare, Shree and Smith, Leonard A. (2011) Data assimilation: a fully nonlinear approach to ensemble formation using indistinguishable states. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (7). pp. 2080-2097. ISSN 0027-0644
Smith, Leonard A. and Stern, Nicholas (2011) Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 369 (1956). pp. 4818-4841. ISSN 1364-503X
Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Smith, Leonard A.
(2010)
Adaptation to global warming: do climate models tell us what we need to know?
Philosophy of Science, 77 (5).
pp. 1012-1028.
ISSN 0031-8248
Smith, Leonard A., Cuellar, Milena C., Du, Hailiang and Judd, Kevin (2010) Exploiting dynamical coherence: A geometric approach to parameter estimation in nonlinear models. Physics Letters A, 374 (26). pp. 2618-2623. ISSN 0375-9601
Ghil, Michael, Read, Peter and Smith, Leonard A. (2010) Geophysical flows as dynamical systems: the influence of Hide's experiments. Astronomy and Geophysics, 51 (4). 4.28-4.35. ISSN 1366-8781
Hagedorn, Renate and Smith, Leonard A. (2009) Communicating the value of probabilistic forecasts with Weather Roulette. Meteorological Applications, 16 (2). pp. 143-155. ISSN 1350-4827
Bröcker, Jochen and Smith, Leonard A. (2008) From ensemble forecasts to predictive distribution functions. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 60 (4). pp. 663-678. ISSN 0280-6495
Judd, Kevin, Reynolds, Carolyn A., Rosmond, Thomas E. and Smith, Leonard A. (2008) The geometry of model error. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 65 (6). pp. 1749-1772. ISSN 0022-4928
Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Allen, M. R., Tredger, Edward and Smith, Leonard A.
(2007)
Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 365 (1857).
pp. 2145-2161.
ISSN 1364-503X
Judd, Kevin, Smith, Leonard A. and Weisheimer, Antje (2007) How good is an ensemble at capturing truth?: using bounding boxes for forecast evaluation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 133 (626). pp. 1309-1325. ISSN 0035-9009
Bröcker, Jochen and Smith, Leonard A. (2007) Increasing the reliability of reliability diagrams. Weather and Forecasting, 22 (3). pp. 651-661. ISSN 0882-8156
Bröcker, Jochen and Smith, Leonard A. (2007) Scoring probabilistic forecasts: the importance of being proper. Weather and Forecasting, 22 (2). pp. 382-388. ISSN 0882-8156
Roulston, Mark S, Ellepola, Jerome, von Hardenberg, Jost and Smith, Leonard A. (2005) Forecasting wave height probabilities with numerical weather prediction models. Ocean Engineering, 32 (14-15). pp. 1841-1863. ISSN 0029-8018
Guerrero, Alexandra and Smith, Leonard A. (2005) A maximum likelihood estimator for long-range persistence. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 355 (2-4). pp. 619-632. ISSN 0378-4371
Weisheimer, Antje, Smith, Leonard A. and Judd, Kevin (2005) A new view of forecast skill: bounding boxes from the DEMETER ensemble seasonal forecasts. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 57 (3). pp. 265-279. ISSN 0280-6495
Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Aina, T., Christensen, C., Collins, M., Faull, N., Frame, D. J., Kettleborough, J. A., Knight, S., Martin, A., Murphy, J. M., Piani, C., Sexton, D., Smith, Leonard A., Spicer, R. A., Thorpe, A. J. and Allen, M. R.
(2005)
Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases.
Nature, 433 (7024).
pp. 403-406.
ISSN 0028-0836
Altalo, Mary G. and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Using ensemble weather forecasts to manage utilities risk. Environmental Finance, Octobe (Supple). pp. 48-49. ISSN 1468-8573
Judd, Kevin and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Indistinguishable states II: the imperfect model scenario. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 196 (3-4). pp. 224-242. ISSN 0167-2789
Smith, Leonard A. and Hansen, James A. (2004) Extending the limits of ensemble forecast verification with the minimum spanning tree. Monthly Weather Review, 132 (6). pp. 1522-1528. ISSN 0027-0644
McSharry, Patrick E. and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Consistent nonlinear dynamics: identifying model inadequacy. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 192 (1-2). pp. 1-22. ISSN 0167-2789
Golobic, I., Pavlovic, E., von Hardenberg, J., Berry, M., Nelson, R.A., Kenning, D.B.R. and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Comparison of a mechanistic model for nucleate boiling with experimental spatio-temporal data. Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 82 (4). pp. 435-444. ISSN 0263-8762
Judd, Kevin, Smith, Leonard A. and Weisheimer, Antje (2004) Gradient free descent: shadowing, and state estimation using limited derivative informations. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 190 (3-4). pp. 153-166. ISSN 0167-2789
von Hardenberg, Jost, Kenning, David B. R., Xing, Huijuan and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Identification of nucleation site interactions. International Journal of Heat and Fluid Flow, 25 (2). pp. 298-304. ISSN 0142-727X
Kwasniok, Frank and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Real-time construction of optimized predictions from data streams. Physical Review Letters, 92 (16). pp. 116-120. ISSN 0031-9007
Roulston, M.S. and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) The boy who cried wolf revisited: the impact of false alarm intolerance on cost-loss scenarios. Weather and Forecasting, 19 (2). pp. 391-397. ISSN 0882-8156
Guerrero, A. and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Towards coherent estimation of the correlation dimension. Physics Letters A, 318 (4-5). pp. 373-379. ISSN 0375-9601
Orrell, David and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Visualising bifurcations in high dimensional systems: the spectral bifurcation diagram. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 13 (10). pp. 3015-3027. ISSN 0218-1274
Roulston, M.S., Kaplan, D.T., Hardenberg, J. and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Using medium-range weather forecasts to improve the value of wind energy production. Renewable Energy, 28 (4). pp. 585-602. ISSN 0960-1481
McSharry, Patrick E., Smith, Leonard A. and Tarassenko, Lionel (2003) Prediction of epileptic seizures: are nonlinear methods relevant? Nature Medicine, 9 (3). pp. 241-242. ISSN 1078-8956
Roulston, M.S. and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Combining dynamical and statistical ensembles. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 55 (1). pp. 16-30. ISSN 0280-6495
McSharry, P.E., Smith, Leonard A. and Tarassenko, L. (2003) Comparison of predictability of epileptic seizures by a linear and a nonlinear method. IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 50 (5). pp. 628-633. ISSN 0018-9294
McSharry, P. E., Clifford, G. D., Tarassenko, L. and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) A dynamical model for generating synthetic electrocardiogram signals. IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 50 (3). pp. 289-294. ISSN 0018-9294
McSharry, Patrick E., Clifford, G. D., Tarassenko, L. and Smith, Leonard A. (2002) A method for generating an artificial RR tachogram of a typical healthy human over 24-hours. Computers in Cardiology, 29. pp. 225-228. ISSN 0276-6574
McSharry, P. E., He, T., Smith, Leonard A. and Tarassenko, L. (2002) Linear and non-linear methods for automatic seizure detection in scalp electro-encephalogram recordings. Medical and Biological Engineering and Computing, 40 (4). pp. 447-461. ISSN 0140-0118
Roulston, Mark S. and Smith, Leonard A. (2002) Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory. Monthly Weather Review, 130 (6). pp. 1653-1660. ISSN 0027-0644
Smith, Leonard A. (2002) What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 99 (Suppl.). pp. 2487-2492. ISSN 0027-8424
McSharry, Patrick E., Ellepola, Jerome H., von Hardenberg, Jost, Smith, Leonard A., Kenning, David B. R. and Judd, Kevin (2002) Spatio-temporal analysis of nucleate pool boiling: identification of nucleation sites using non-orthogonal empirical functions. International Journal of Heat and Mass Transfer, 45 (2). pp. 237-253. ISSN 0017-9310
Gilmour, Isla, Smith, Leonard A. and Buizza, Roberto (2001) Linear regime duration: is 24 hours a long time in synoptic weather forecasting? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58 (22). pp. 3525-3539. ISSN 0022-4928 (Submitted)
Hansen, James A. and Smith, Leonard A. (2001) Probabilistic noise reduction. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 53 (5). pp. 585-598. ISSN 0280-6495
Judd, Kevin and Smith, Leonard A. (2001) Indistinguishable states I: perfect model scenario. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 151 (2-4). pp. 125-141. ISSN 0167-2789
Orrell, D., Smith, Leonard A., Barkmeijer, J. and Palmer, T. N. (2001) Model error in weather forecasting. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 8 (6). pp. 357-371. ISSN 1023-5809
Hansen, James A. and Smith, Leonard A. (2000) The role of operational constraints in selecting supplementary observations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 57 (17). pp. 2859-2871. ISSN 0022-4928
Ziehmann, Christine, Smith, Leonard A. and Kurths, Jürgen (2000) Localized Lyapunov exponents and the prediction of predictability. Physics Letters A, 271 (4). pp. 237-251. ISSN 0375-9601
McSharry, Patrick E. and Smith, Leonard A. (1999) Better nonlinear models from noisy data: attractors with maximum likelihood. Physical Review Letters, 83 (21). pp. 4285-4288. ISSN 0031-9007
Smith, Leonard A., Ziehmann, C. and Fraedrich, K. (1999) Uncertainty dynamics and predictability in chaotic systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 125 (560). pp. 2855-2886. ISSN 0035-9009
Ziehmann, Christine, Smith, Leonard A. and Kurths, Jürgen (1999) The bootstrap and Lyapunov exponents in deterministic chaos. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 126 (1-2). pp. 49-59. ISSN 0167-2789
Moroz, Irene M., Smith, Leonard A. and Hide, Raymond (1998) Synchronized chaos in coupled double disk homopolar dynamos. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 8 (11). pp. 2125-2133. ISSN 0218-1274
Paparella, F., Provenzale, A., Smith, Leonard A., Taricco, C. and Vio, R. (1997) Local random analogue prediction of nonlinear processes. Physics Letters A, 235 (3). pp. 233-240. ISSN 0375-9601
Allen, Myles R. and Smith, Leonard A. (1997) Optimal filtering in singular spectrum analysis. Physics Letters A, 234 (6). pp. 419-428. ISSN 0375-9601
Allen, Myles R. and Smith, Leonard A. (1996) Monte Carlo SSA: detecting irregular oscillations in the presence of colored noise. Journal of Climate, 9 (12). pp. 3373-3404. ISSN 0894-8755
Theiler, James and Smith, Leonard A. (1995) Anomalous convergence of Lyapunov exponent estimates. Physical Review E, 51 (4). pp. 3738-3741. ISSN 2470-0045
Ziehmann-Schlumbohm, C., Fraedrich, K. and Smith, Leonard A. (1995) Ein internes Vorhersagbarkeitsexperiment im Lorenz-Modell. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 4 (1). pp. 16-21. ISSN 0941-2948
Smith, Leonard A. (1995) A personal overview of nonlinear time-series analysis from a chaos perspective - comments. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 22 (4). pp. 435-437. ISSN 0303-6898
Allen, Myles R. and Smith, Leonard A. (1994) Investigating the origins and significance of low-frequency modes of climate variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 21 (10). pp. 883-886. ISSN 0094-8276
Smith, Leonard A. (1994) Local optimal prediction: exploiting strangeness and the variation of sensitivity to initial condition. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 348 (1688). pp. 371-381. ISSN 1364-503X
Allen, Myles R., Read, Peter L. and Smith, Leonard A. (1992) Temperature oscillations. Nature, 359 (6397). p. 679. ISSN 0028-0836
Provenzale, A., Smith, Leonard A., Vio, R. and Murante, G. (1992) Distinguishing between low-dimensional dynamics and randomness in measured time series. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 58 (1-4). pp. 31-49. ISSN 0167-2789
Smith, Leonard A. (1992) Identification and prediction of low dimensional dynamics. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 58 (1-4). pp. 50-76. ISSN 0167-2789
Allen, Myles R., Read, Peter L. and Smith, Leonard A. (1992) Temperature time-series? Nature, 355 (6362). p. 686. ISSN 0028-0836
Smith, Leonard A. (1992) Comments on the paper of R Smith, estimating dimension in noisy chaotic time series. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 54 (2). pp. 329-352. ISSN 1369-7412
Smith, Leonard A. (1988) Intrinsic limits on dimension calculations. Physics Letters A, 133 (6). pp. 283-288. ISSN 0375-9601
Smith, Leonard A. and Spiegel, E. A. (1987) Strange accumulators. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 497 (Chaoti). pp. 61-65. ISSN 0077-8923
Smith, Leonard A., Fournier, J. D. and Spiegel, E. A. (1986) Lacunarity and intermittency in fluid turbulence. Physics Letters A, 114 (8-9). pp. 465-468. ISSN 0375-9601
Smith, Leonard A. and Spiegel, E. A. (1985) Pattern formation by particles settling in viscous flows. Lecture Notes in Physics, 230. pp. 306-318. ISSN 1616-6361
Green, A. E. S., Cross, K. R. and Smith, Leonard A. (1980) Improved analytic characterization of ultraviolet skylight. Photochemistry and Photobiology, 31 (1). pp. 59-65. ISSN 0031-8655
Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A.
(2014)
Model error and ensemble forecasting: a cautionary tale.
In: Guo, Guichun C. and Liu, Chuang, (eds.)
Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science: Selected Papers from the International Conference on SEMS 2012 Shanxi University, Taiyuan, China, 17–19 September 2012.
World Scientific (Firm), Singapore, pp. 58-68.
ISBN 978-9814596633
Smith, Leonard A. and Petersen, Arthur (2014) Variations on reliability: connecting climate predictions to climate policy. In: Boumans, Marcel, Petersen, Arthur and Hon, Giora, (eds.) Error and uncertainty in scientific practice. History and philosophy of technoscience (1). Pickering & Chatto, London, UK, pp. 137-156. ISBN 9781848934160
Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L. and Smith, Leonard A.
(2013)
Probabilistic forecasting: why model imperfection is a poison pill.
In: Andersen, Hanne, Dieks, Dennis, Gonzalez, Wenceslao, Ubel, Thomas and Wheeler, Gregory, (eds.)
New Challenges to Philosophy of Science.
The philosophy of science in a European perspective (4).
Springer Berlin / Heidelberg, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp. 479-492.
ISBN 9789400758445
Smith, Leonard A. (2006) Predictability past predictability present. In: Palmer, Tim and Hagedorn, Renate, (eds.) Predictability of Weather and Climate. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 217-250. ISBN 9780521848824
Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Predictability and chaos. In: Holton, James R., Pyle, John and Curry, Judith A., (eds.) Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press, Amsterdam, London, pp. 1777-1785. ISBN 9780122270901
Smith, Leonard A. and Roulston, Mark S. (2002) Weather and seasonal forecasting. In: Dischel, Robert, (ed.) Climate Risk and the Weather Market. Risk Books, London, pp. 115-126. ISBN 9781899332526
Smith, Leonard A. (2001) Disentangling uncertainty and error: on the predictability of nonlinear systems. In: Mees, Alistair I., (ed.) Nonlinear Dynamics and Statistics. Birkhäuser (Firm), Boston, pp. 31-64. ISBN 9780817641634
Smith, Leonard A. and Gilmour, Isla (1998) Enlightenment in shadows. In: Kadtke, James B and Bulsara, Adi, (eds.) Nonlinear Dynamics and Stochastic Systems Near the Millennium. AIP Conference Proceedings (411). American Institute of Physics, New York, United States, pp. 335-340. ISBN 9781563967368
Smith, Leonard A. (1995) Accountability and error in ensemble prediction of baroclinic flows. In: Seminar on Predictability, 4-8 September 1995. ECMWF seminar proceedings. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK, pp. 351-368.
Smith, Leonard A. (1995) Locally optimized prediction of nonlinear systems: stochastic and deterministic. In: Tong, Howell, (ed.) Chaos and Forecasting. Nonlinear time series and chaos (2). World Scientific (Firm), Singapore. ISBN 9789810221263
Smith, Leonard A. (1994) Visualizing predictability with chaotic ensembles. In: Luk, Franklin T., (ed.) Advanced Signal Processing: Algorithms, Architectures, and Implementations V (Proceedings Volume). Society of Photo-optical Instrumentation Engineers, Bellingham, USA, pp. 293-304. ISBN 9780819416209
Smith, Leonard A. (1994) Turbulence in the River Severn: a dynamic systems approach. In: Beven, Keith J., Chatwin, Phillip C. and Millbank, John H., (eds.) Mixing and Transport in the Environment : a Memorial Volume for Catherine M. Allen (1954-1991). John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, UK, pp. 383-399. ISBN 9780471941422
Smith, Leonard A. (1993) Does a meeting in Santa Fe imply chaos? In: Weigend, Andreas S. and Gershenfeld, Neil A., (eds.) Time Series Prediction:Forecasting the Future and Understanding the Past: Proceedings of the Nato Advanced Research Workshop on. Santa Fe Institute studies in the sciences of complexity. Addison-Wesley, Reading, USA, pp. 323-344. ISBN 9780201626018
Smith, Leonard A. (1991) Applied chaos: quantifying complex systems. In: Atmanspacher, H., (ed.) Information Dynamics. NATO ASI series B (256). Plenum Press, New York, USA, pp. 97-102.
Smith, Leonard A., Godfrey, K., Fox, P. and Warwick, K. (1991) A new technique for fault detection in multi-sensor probes. In: International Conference on Control '91, 25-28 March 1991. IEE conference publication. Institution of Electrical Engineers, London, UK, pp. 1062-1067. ISBN 9780852965092
Thieberger, R., Spiegel, E. A. and Smith, Leonard A. (1990) The dimensions of cosmic fractals. In: Krasner, Saul, (ed.) The Ubiquity of Chaos. American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington, USA, 197-217.. ISBN 9780871683502
Smith, Leonard A. (1990) Quantifying chaos through predicitve flows and maps: computing unstable periodic orbits. In: Abraham, Neal B. and Albano, Alfonso, (eds.) Measures of Complexity and Chaos. NATO ASI series B (208). Plenum Press, New York, USA, pp. 359-366. ISBN 9780306433870
Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A.
(2013)
Laplace's demon and climate change.
Grantham Research Institue on Climate Change and the Environment working paper (103).
Grantham Research Institue on Climate Change and the Environment, London, UK.
Smith, Leonard A., Roulston, Mark S and von Hardenberg, Jost (2001) End to end ensemble forecasting: towards evaluating the economic value of an ensemble prediction system. Technical memorandum (336). European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK.
Roulston, Mark S, Ziehmann, Christine and Smith, Leonard A. (2001) A forecast reliability index from ensembles: a comparison of methods. . London School of Economics and Political Science, London.
Thompson, Erica and Smith, Leonard A. (2014) The hawkmoth effect. In: LSE Research Festival 2014, 2014-05-08, London, United Kingdom, GBR. (Submitted)
Jarman, Alex and Smith, Leonard A. (2011) Small-number statistics, common sense, and profit: challenges and non-challenges for hurricane forecasting. In: LSE Research Day 2011: The Early Career Researcher, 2011-05-26, London, United Kingdom, GBR. (Submitted)
Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Predictability past predictability present. In: ECMWF Seminar on Predictability, 2002-01-01, Reading, United Kingdom, GBR. (Submitted)
McSharry, P.E., Clifford, G. D., Tarassenko, L. and Smith, Leonard A. (2002) Method for generating an artificial RR tachogram of a typical healthy human over 24-hours. In: Computers in Cardiology, 2002-09-22 - 2002-09-25, Memphis, United States, USA.
Smith, Leonard A. (2000) Limits to Predictability in 2000 and 2100. In: Proceedings of IEEE 2000 Adaptive Systems for Signal Processing, Communications, and Control Symposium, 2000-10-01 - 2000-10-04, Alta., Canada, CAN.
Smith, Leonard A. and McSharry, Patrick E. (1998) Just do it: reductionism, modelling and black-box forecasting. In: International Workshop on Advanced Black-Box Techniques for Nonlinear Modeling: Theory and Applications, 1998-07-08 - 1998-07-10, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium, BEL.
Smith, Leonard A. and Gilmour, Isla (1997) Accountability and internal consistency in ensemble formation. In: Workshop on Predictability, 1997-10-20 - 1997-10-22, Reading, United Kingdom, GBR.
Smith, Leonard A. (2007) Chaos: a very short introduction. Very short introductions. , 159 Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. ISBN 0192853783
Smith, Leonard A. (2007) Letters to the editor: unproven theories have value. Times (30 Nov 2007). Website.
Smith, Leonard A. (2000) Feeding frenzy is short of juice. Times Higher Education (18 Aug 2000). Website.
Smith, Leonard A. (2000) Rough survey of how ticks all add up. Times Higher Education (26 May 2000). Website.
Smith, Leonard A. (1997) The maintenance of uncertainty. IOS Press, Bologna, Italy.
