Items where Division is "Centre for Analysis of Time Series" and Year is 2013

Article

Barrieu, Pauline ORCID: 0000-0001-9473-263X and El Karoui, Nicole (2013) Monotone stability of quadratic semimartingales with applications to general quadratic BSDEs. Annals of Probability, 41 (3B). pp. 1831-1863. ISSN 0091-1798

Barrieu, Pauline ORCID: 0000-0001-9473-263X and Louberge, Henri (2013) Reinsurance and securitisation of life insurance risk: the impact of regulatory constraints. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 52 (2). pp. 135-144. ISSN 0167-6687 (Submitted)

Beven, Keith (2013) So how much of your error is epistemic? Lessons from Japan and Italy. Hydrological Processes, 27 (11). pp. 1677-1680. ISSN 0885-6087

Capparelli, V., Franzke, C., Vecchio, A., Freeman, M. P., Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588 and Carbone, V. (2013) A spatiotemporal analysis of US station temperature trends over the last century. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (14). pp. 7427-7434. ISSN 2169-897X

Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907 (2013) Clever fetishists. Art History, 36 (3). pp. 665-669. ISSN 1467-8365

Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Smith, Leonard A. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X (2013) The myopia of imperfect climate models: the case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science, 80 (5). pp. 886-897. ISSN 0031-8248

Giammarino, Flavia and Barrieu, Pauline ORCID: 0000-0001-9473-263X (2013) Indifference pricing with uncertainty averse preferences. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 49 (1). pp. 2-15. ISSN 0304-4068

Glendinning, Paul and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) Lacunarity and period-doubling. Dynamical Systems. pp. 1-11. ISSN 1468-9367

Imbers, J., Lopez, A., Huntingford, C. and Allen, M. R. (2013) Testing the robustness of the anthropogenic climate change detection statements using different empirical models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (8). pp. 3192-3199. ISSN 2169-897X

Machete, Reason L. (2013) Contrasting probabilistic scoring rules. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 143 (10). pp. 1781-1790. ISSN 0378-3758

Machete, Reason L. (2013) Model imperfection and predicting predictability. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 23 (08). 1330027-1-1330027-17. ISSN 0218-1274

Suckling, Emma B. and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from state-of-the-art climate models. Journal of Climate, 26 (23). pp. 9334-9347. ISSN 0894-8755

Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588 (2013) Bunched black (and grouped grey) swans: dissipative and non-dissipative models of correlated extreme fluctuations in complex geosystems. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (2). pp. 402-410. ISSN 0094-8276

Book Section

Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907 (2013) Qu'est-ce que c'est la méchanique statistique? In: Le Bihan, Sozig, (ed.) Précis De Philosophie De la Physique. Vuibert, Paris, pp. 152-176. ISBN 9782311011005

Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L. and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) Probabilistic forecasting: why model imperfection is a poison pill. In: Andersen, Hanne, Dieks, Dennis, Gonzalez, Wenceslao, Ubel, Thomas and Wheeler, Gregory, (eds.) New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. The philosophy of science in a European perspective (4). Springer Berlin / Heidelberg, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp. 479-492. ISBN 9789400758445

Surminski, Swenja ORCID: 0000-0003-1270-5545 (2013) The role of insurance risk transfer in encouraging climate investment in developing countries. In: Dupuy, Pierre-Marie and Viñuales, Jorge E., (eds.) Harnessing foreign investment to promote environmental protection. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 228-250. ISBN 9781107030770

Monograph

Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) Laplace's demon and climate change. Grantham Research Institue on Climate Change and the Environment working paper (103). Grantham Research Institue on Climate Change and the Environment, London, UK.

Gibbs, Peter, Hanlon, Michael, Hardaker, Paul, Hawkins, Ed, MacDonald, Averil, Maskell, Kathy, Mayfield, Heather, Mclean, Angela, Morris, Elizabeth, Mylne, Ken, Naylor, Mark, Palmer, Tim, Rawlins, Michael, Royse, Katherine, Smith, Leonard, So, Emily, Spiegelhalter, David, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Stewart, Ian, Tyler, Chris, de Vocht, Frank, Brown, Tracey and Innocent, Tabitha (2013) Making sense of uncertainty: why uncertainty is part of science. . Sense About Science, London.

Conference or Workshop Item

Wheatcroft, Edward ORCID: 0000-0002-7301-0889 (2013) Will it rain tomorrow? Improving probabilistic forecasts. In: LSE Research Festival 2013: Exploring Research Stories Through Visual Images, 2013-03-01, London, United Kingdom, GBR. (Submitted)