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JET contributors (2015) The global build-up to intrinsic edge localized mode bursts seen in divertor full flux loops in JET. Physics of Plasmas, 22 (7). 072506. ISSN 1070-664X
Calel, Raphael, Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X and Dietz, Simon
ORCID: 0000-0001-5002-018X
(2015)
Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming.
Climatic Change, 132 (1).
pp. 127-141.
ISSN 0165-0009
Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X
(2015)
On quantifying the climate of the nonautonomous lorenz-63 model.
Chaos, 25 (4).
ISSN 1054-1500
Franzke, Christian L. E., Osprey, Scott M., Davini, Paolo and Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588
(2015)
A dynamical systems explanation of the Hurst effect and atmospheric low-frequency variability.
Scientific Reports, 5 (9068).
ISSN 2045-2322
Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907, Smith, Leonard A. and Stainforth, David A.
ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X
(2015)
An assessment of the foundational assumptions inhigh-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09.
Synthese, 192 (12).
pp. 3979-4008.
ISSN 1573-0964
Graves, T., Gramacy, R. B., Franzke, C. L. E. and Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588
(2015)
Efficient Bayesian inference for natural time series using ARFIMA processes.
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 22 (6).
pp. 679-700.
ISSN 1607-7946
Hazeleger, W., van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., Min, E., van Oldenborgh, G.J., Petersen, A.C., Stainforth, David A. ORCID: 0000-0001-6476-733X, Vasileiadou, E. and Smith, L. A.
(2015)
Tales of future weather.
Nature Climate Change, 5 (2).
pp. 107-113.
ISSN 1758-678X
Hush, P., Chapman, S. C., Dunlop, M. W. and Watkins, Nicholas W. ORCID: 0000-0003-4484-6588
(2015)
Robust statistical properties of the size of large burst events in AE.
Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (21).
pp. 9197-9202.
ISSN 0094-8276
Lopez, A., Suckling, E. B., Otto, F. E. L., Lorenz, A., Rowlands, D. and Allen, M. R. (2015) Towards a typology for constrained climate model forecasts. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 15-29. ISSN 0165-0009
Otto, Friederike E. L., Ferro, Christopher A. T., Fricker, Thomas E. and Suckling, Emma B. (2015) On judging the credibility of climate predictions. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 47-60. ISSN 0165-0009
Smith, Leonard A., Du, Hailiang, Suckling, Emma B. and Niehörster, Falk (2015) Probabilistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 1085-1100. ISSN 0035-9009
Smith, Leonard A., Suckling, Emma B., Thompson, Erica L., Maynard, Trevor and Du, Hailiang (2015) Towards improving the framework for probabilistic forecast evaluation. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 31-45. ISSN 0165-0009
Surminski, Swenja ORCID: 0000-0003-1270-5545 and Lopez, Ana
(2015)
Concept of loss and damage of climate change – a new challenge for climate decision-making? a climate science perspective.
Climate and Development, 7 (3).
pp. 267-277.
ISSN 1756-5529
Werndl, Charlotte and Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907
(2015)
Reconceptualising equilibrium in Boltzmannian statistical mechanics and characterising its existence.
Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics, 49.
pp. 19-31.
ISSN 1355-2198
Werndl, Charlotte and Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907
(2015)
Rethinking boltzmannian equilibrium.
Philosophy of Science, 82 (5).
pp. 1224-1235.
ISSN 0031-8248
Beunza, Daniel and Millo, Yuval (2015) Blended automation: integrating algorithms on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Systemic Risk Centre Discussion Papers (38). Systemic Risk Centre, The London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.