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Palyulin, Vladimir, Blackburn, George, Lomholt, Michael A, Watkins, Nicholas W., Metzler, Ralf, Kleges, Rainer and Chechkin, Aleksei V (2019) First passage and first hitting times of Lévy flights and Lévy walks. New Journal of Physics, 21. ISSN 1367-2630
Chapman, S.C., Watkins, Nicholas W. and Stainforth, David A. (2019) Warming trends in summer heatwaves. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (3). pp. 1634-1640. ISSN 0094-8276
Shepherd, Theodore G., Boyd, Emily, Calel, Raphael A., Chapman, Sandra C., Dessai, Suraje, Dima-West, Ioana M., Fowler, Hayley J., James, Rachel, Maraun, Douglas, Martius, Olivia, Senior, Catherine A., Sobel, Adam H., Stainforth, David A., Tett, Simon F. B., Trenberth, Kevin E., van den Hurk, Bart J. J. M., Watkins, Nicholas W., Wilby, Robert L. and Zenghelis, Dimitri A. (2018) Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change. Climatic Change. ISSN 0165-0009
Tindale, E., Chapman, S.C., Moloney, N.R. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2018) The dependence of solar wind burst size on burst duration and its invariance across solar cycles 23 and 24. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 123 (9). pp. 7196-7210. ISSN 2169-9380
Watkins, Nicholas W. (2018) (A)phantasia and severely deficient autobiographical memory: scientific and personal perspectives. Cortex, 105. pp. 41-52. ISSN 0010-9452
Chapman, S. C., Watkins, Nicholas W. and Tindale, E. (2018) Reproducible aspects of the climate of space weather over the last five solar cycles. Space Weather, 16 (8). pp. 1128-1142. ISSN 1542-7390
Chapman, S. C., Lang, P. T., Dendy, R. O., Giannone, L. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2018) Control system-plasma synchronization and naturally occurring edge localized modes in a tokamak. Physics of Plasmas, 25. 062511. ISSN 1070-664X
Watkins, Nicholas W. (2017) On the continuing relevance of Mandelbrot's non-ergodic fractional renewal models of 1963 to 1967. European Physical Journal B, 90 (241). ISSN 1434-6028
Graves, Timothy, Gramacy, Robert, Watkins, Nicholas W. and Franzke, Christian (2017) A brief history of long memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the road to ARFIMA, 1951–1980. Entropy, 19 (9). p. 437. ISSN 1099-4300
Graves, Timothy, Franzke, Christian L.E., Watkins, Nicholas W., Gramacy, Robert B. and Tindale, Elizabeth (2017) Systematic inference of the long-range dependence and heavy-tail distribution parameters of ARFIMA models. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 473. pp. 60-71. ISSN 0378-4371
Chapman, S. C., Dendy, R. O., Lang, P. T., Watkins, Nicholas W., Calderon, F. A., Romanelli, M. and Todd, T. N. (2017) The global build-up to intrinsic ELM bursts and comparison with pellet triggered ELMs seen in JET. Nuclear Fusion, 57 (2). 022017. ISSN 0029-5515
Watkins, Nicholas W., Pruessner, Gunnar, Chapman, Sandra C., Crosby, Norma B. and Jensen, Henrik J. (2016) 25 years of self-organized criticality: concepts and controversies. Space Science Reviews, 198 (1). pp. 3-44. ISSN 0038-6308
Hush, P., Chapman, S. C., Dunlop, M. W. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2015) Robust statistical properties of the size of large burst events in AE. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (21). pp. 9197-9202. ISSN 0094-8276
Chapman, S. C., Dendy, R. O., Todd, T. N., Watkins, Nicholas W., Calderon, F. A. and Morris, J. (2015) The global build-up to intrinsic edge localized mode bursts seen in divertor full flux loops in JET. Physics of Plasmas, 22 (7). 072506. ISSN 1070-664X
Graves, T., Gramacy, R. B., Franzke, C. L. E. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2015) Efficient Bayesian inference for natural time series using ARFIMA processes. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 22 (6). pp. 679-700. ISSN 1607-7946
Chapman, Sandra C., Stainforth, David A. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2015) Limits to the quantification of local climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (9). 094018. ISSN 1748-9326
Franzke, Christian L. E., Osprey, Scott M., Davini, Paolo and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2015) A dynamical systems explanation of the Hurst effect and atmospheric low-frequency variability. Scientific Reports, 5 (9068). ISSN 2045-2322
Chapman, S. C., Dendy, R. O., Todd, T. N., Watkins, Nicholas W., Webster, A. J., Calderoni, Francesco and Morris, Jill (2014) Relationship of edge localized mode burst times with divertor flux loop signal phase in JET. Physics of Plasmas, 21 (062302). ISSN 1070-664X
Stainforth, David A., Chapman, Sandra C. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2013) Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). ISSN 1748-9326
Chapman, Sandra C., Stainforth, David A. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2013) On estimating local long-term climate trends. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 371 (1991). ISSN 1364-503X
Watkins, Nicholas W. (2013) Bunched black (and grouped grey) swans: dissipative and non-dissipative models of correlated extreme fluctuations in complex geosystems. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (2). pp. 402-410. ISSN 0094-8276
Capparelli, V., Franzke, C., Vecchio, A., Freeman, M. P., Watkins, Nicholas W. and Carbone, V. (2013) A spatiotemporal analysis of US station temperature trends over the last century. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (14). pp. 7427-7434. ISSN 2169-897X
