Murr, Andreas, Stegmaier, Mary and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. (2016) Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president. USApp – American Politics and Policy Blog (03 Nov 2016). Website.
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Abstract
Who will be the next US President? Some commentators have argued that voter intention polls are flawed because it is difficult to know who will actually turn out to vote. To get around this problem, Andreas Murr, Mary Stegmaier, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck use citizen forecasts, a “who do you think will win” survey question, to predict the election result.
| Item Type: | Online resource (Website) |
|---|---|
| Official URL: | http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/ |
| Additional Information: | © 2016 The Authors, USApp – American Politics and Policy Blog, The London School of Economics and Political Science © CC BY-NC 3.0 |
| Divisions: | LSE |
| Subjects: | J Political Science > JA Political science (General) J Political Science > JK Political institutions (United States) |
| Date Deposited: | 27 Jan 2017 12:59 |
| Last Modified: | 15 Sep 2023 20:24 |
| URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/69129 |
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