Cookies?
Library Header Image
LSE Research Online LSE Library Services

Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president

Murr, Andreas, Stegmaier, Mary and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. (2016) Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president. USApp – American Politics and Policy Blog (03 Nov 2016). Website.

[img]
Preview
PDF - Published Version
Download (172kB) | Preview

Abstract

Who will be the next US President? Some commentators have argued that voter intention polls are flawed because it is difficult to know who will actually turn out to vote. To get around this problem, Andreas Murr, Mary Stegmaier, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck use citizen forecasts, a “who do you think will win” survey question, to predict the election result.

Item Type: Online resource (Website)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/
Additional Information: © 2016 The Authors, USApp – American Politics and Policy Blog, The London School of Economics and Political Science © CC BY-NC 3.0; Online
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
J Political Science > JK Political institutions (United States)
Sets: Collections > LSE American Politics and Policy (USAPP) Blog
Date Deposited: 27 Jan 2017 12:59
Last Modified: 11 Jun 2020 23:29
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/69129

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item

Downloads

Downloads per month over past year

View more statistics