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Do pre-analysis plans hamper publication?

Ofosu, George K. ORCID: 0000-0003-4112-0749 and Posner, Daniel N. (2020) Do pre-analysis plans hamper publication? AEA Papers and Proceedings, 110. pp. 70-74. ISSN 2574-0768

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Identification Number: 10.1257/pandp.20201079


Scholars assert that pre-analysis plans (PAPs) generate boring, lab-report style papers and thus hamper publication. We test this claim by comparing the publication rates of experimental NBER working papers with and without PAPs. We find that articles with PAPs are slightly less likely to be published. However, conditional on being published, PAP-generated papers are significantly more likely to land in top-five journals. Also, PAP-based journal articles generate more citations. Our findings suggest that the alleged trade-off between career concerns and the scientific credibility that comes from registering and adhering to a PAP is less stark than is sometimes alleged.

Item Type: Article
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2021 AEA
Divisions: Government
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HM Sociology
H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
L Education > L Education (General)
JEL classification: A - General Economics and Teaching > A1 - General Economics > A14 - Sociology of Economics
I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education > I23 - Higher Education Research Institutions
Date Deposited: 26 Nov 2021 15:42
Last Modified: 03 Dec 2021 12:42

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