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The generation gap in direct democracy

Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M. ORCID: 0000-0001-5664-3230, Maennig, Wolfgang and Mueller, Steffen Q. (2018) The generation gap in direct democracy. CEP Discussion Papers (CEPDP1552). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance, London, UK.

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Abstract

We provide the first systematic documentation and analysis of a generation gap in direct democracy outcomes across a wide range of topics using postelection survey data covering more than 300 Swiss referenda and four decades. We find that older voters are more likely to resist reform projects, particularly those that are associated with the political left. We separate age and cohort effects without imposing functional form constraints using a panel rank regression approach. The aging effect on political orientation is robust for controlling for arbitrary cohort effects and appears to be driven by expected utility maximization and not by habituation-induced status-quo bias. Our results suggest that population aging raises the hurdle for investment-like reform projects with positive net present values, long-run benefits and short-run costs in direct polls.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: http://cep.lse.ac.uk/
Additional Information: © 2018 The Authors
Divisions: Centre for Economic Performance
Subjects: J Political Science > JC Political theory
JEL classification: D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making
H - Public Economics > H3 - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents
Date Deposited: 27 Jun 2018 09:23
Last Modified: 15 Sep 2023 23:45
Funders: Economic and Social Research Council
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/88702

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