The relationship between EU indicators of persistent and current poverty

Jenkins, Stephen P. ORCID: 0000-0002-8305-9774 and van Kerm, Philippe (2013) The relationship between EU indicators of persistent and current poverty. CASEpapers (169). Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion, London, UK.

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Abstract

The current poverty rate and the persistent poverty rate are both included in the EU’s portfolio of primary indicators of social inclusion. We show that there is a near-linear relationship between these two indicators across EU countries drawing on empirical analysis of EU-SILC and ECHP data. Using a prototypical model of poverty dynamics, we explain how the near-linear relationship arises and show how the model can be used to predict persistent poverty rates from current poverty information. In the light of the results, we discuss whether the EU’s persistent poverty measure and the design of EU-SILC longitudinal data collection require modification.

Item Type:	Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL:	http://sticerd.lse.ac.uk/case
Additional Information:	© 2013 The Authors
Divisions:	Social Policy STICERD Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions H Social Sciences > HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe)
JEL classification:	D - Microeconomics > D3 - Distribution > D31 - Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I3 - Welfare and Poverty > I32 - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
Date Deposited:	22 Jul 2014 09:13
Last Modified:	11 Dec 2024 19:12
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/58080

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