Hansen, Stephen, McMahon, Michael and Prat, Andrea (2014) Transparency and deliberation within the FOMC: a computational linguistics approach. CFM discussion paper series (CFM-DP2014-11). Centre For Macroeconomics, London, UK.
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Abstract
How does transparency, a key feature of central bank design, affect the deliberation of monetary policymakers? We exploit a natural experiment in the Federal Open Market Committee in 1993 together with computational linguistic models (particularly Latent Dirichlet Allocation) to measure the effect of increased transparency on debate. Commentators have hypothesized both a beneficial discipline effect and a detrimental conformity effect. A difference-in-differences approach inspired by the career concerns literature uncovers evidence for both effects. However, the net effect of increased transparency appears to be a more informative deliberation process.
| Item Type: | Monograph (Discussion Paper) |
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| Official URL: | http://www.centreformacroeconomics.ac.uk/Home.aspx |
| Additional Information: | © 2014 The Authors |
| Divisions: | Centre for Macroeconomics |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HG Finance |
| JEL classification: | D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D78 - Positive Analysis of Policy-Making and Implementation E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects) E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies |
| Date Deposited: | 22 Jul 2014 08:47 |
| Last Modified: | 13 Sep 2024 20:27 |
| Funders: | Research Donations Committee, Bank of England |
| URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/58072 |
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