Horgan, Terry and Mahtani, Anna 
ORCID: 0000-0003-1581-4325
(2013)
Generalized conditionalization and the Sleeping Beauty problem.
Erkenntnis, 78 (2).
pp. 333-351.
ISSN 0165-0106
Abstract
We present a new argument for the claim that in the Sleeping Beauty problem, the probability that the coin comes up heads is 1/3. Our argument depends on a principle for the updating of probabilities that we call ‘generalized conditionalization’, and on a species of generalized conditionalization we call ‘synchronic conditionalization on old information’. We set forth a rationale for the legitimacy of generalized conditionalization, and we explain why our new argument for thirdism is immune to two attacks that Pust (Synthese 160:97–101, 2008) has leveled at other arguments for thirdism.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Official URL: | http://link.springer.com/journal/10670 |
| Additional Information: | © 2011 Springer Science+Business Media B.V. |
| Divisions: | Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method |
| Subjects: | B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > B Philosophy (General) |
| Date Deposited: | 02 Oct 2013 10:42 |
| Last Modified: | 12 Dec 2024 00:23 |
| URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/50726 |
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