Aïd, René, Campi, Luciano and Langrené, Nicolas (2013) A structural risk-neutral model for pricing and hedging electricity derivatives. Mathematical Finance, 23 (3). pp. 387-438. ISSN 0960-1627
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
We develop a structural risk-neutral model for energy market modifying along several directions the approach introduced in Aïd et al. In particular, a scarcity function is introduced to allow important deviations of the spot price from the marginal fuel price, producing price spikes. We focus on pricing and hedging electricity derivatives. The hedging instruments are forward contracts on fuels and electricity. The presence of production capacities and electricity demand makes such a market incomplete. We follow a local risk minimization approach to price and hedge energy derivatives. Despite the richness of information included in the spot model, we obtain closed-form formulae for futures prices and semiexplicit formulae for spread options and European options on electricity forward contracts. An analysis of the electricity price risk premium is provided showing the contribution of demand and capacity to the futures prices. We show that when far from delivery, electricity futures behave like a basket of futures on fuels.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Official URL: | http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/(IS... |
| Additional Information: | © 2012 John Wiley |
| Divisions: | Statistics |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HA Statistics H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory H Social Sciences > HG Finance |
| JEL classification: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General |
| Date Deposited: | 13 May 2013 12:01 |
| Last Modified: | 13 Apr 2024 23:30 |
| URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/50233 |
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