Agnello, Luca, Furceri, Davide and Sousa, Ricardo J. (2013) How best to measure discretionary fiscal policy?: assessing its impact on private spending. Economic Modelling, 34. pp. 15-24. ISSN 0264-9993
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
We develop a novel empirical approach to assess the effect of discretionary fiscal policy on private spending consisting of three stages: 1) extract the discretionary component of fiscal policy by estimating a fiscal policy rule; 2) use the residuals of the first-stage regression to investigate the existence of crowding-in and/or crowding-out effects both in the short and the medium term; and 3) condition the response of private spending on a set of country characteristics. We find that an expansion in discretionary fiscal policy boosts growth in the short term, but is detrimental in the medium term. In addition, the empirical findings suggest that the effect of discretionary fiscal policy on private spending varies across regions and income groups, and depends on countries' economic characteristics such as the level of economic development, trade openness, government and country size.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Official URL: | http://www.journals.elsevier.com/economic-modellin... |
| Additional Information: | © 2013 Elsevier B.V. |
| Divisions: | Financial Markets Group |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance |
| Date Deposited: | 24 Jan 2013 11:11 |
| Last Modified: | 04 Apr 2024 16:45 |
| URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/48064 |
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