Gordon, Ian R. 
ORCID: 0000-0002-2170-8193
(2010)
Scenarios and planning for alternative London futures - or making a drama out of a strategy.
In: Kochan, Ben and Scanlon, Kathleen, (eds.)
London: Coping With Austerity.
London School of Economics and Political Science, London, pp. 49-56.
ISBN 9780853284598
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Abstract
This chapter responds to the decision to base the latest version of The London Plan, like its predecessors, on a single deterministic view of the future. It argues for adoption of a different approach, giving explicit attention to a number of credible alternative futures which the city may face, in the context of substantial economic and demographic uncertainties. As a modest illustration it is shown how substantially quantitative forecasts could be affected if the government were to succeed in reducing international migration to the level proposed by its Conservative members. More generally, it is suggested that resistance to exploring scenarios is likely to reflect both over-reliance on status quo assumptions, and political obstacles to explicitly addressing some of the sources of real uncertainty.
| Item Type: | Book Section |
|---|---|
| Official URL: | http://www2.lse.ac.uk/geographyAndEnvironment/rese... |
| Additional Information: | © 2010 Author |
| Divisions: | Geography & Environment Spatial Economics Research Centre LSE London |
| Subjects: | G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > G Geography (General) H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD100 Land Use J Political Science > JS Local government Municipal government |
| JEL classification: | R - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics > R5 - Regional Government Analysis > R52 - Land Use and Other Regulations |
| Date Deposited: | 11 Jul 2011 14:35 |
| Last Modified: | 11 Dec 2024 17:26 |
| Funders: | HEIF |
| URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/37079 |
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