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Epistemic democracy with defensible premises

Dietrich, Franz and Spiekermann, Kai ORCID: 0000-0003-4983-5589 (2010) Epistemic democracy with defensible premises. Working papers. London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

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Abstract

The contemporary theory of epistemic democracy often draws on the Condorcet Jury Theorem to formally justify the ‘wisdom of crowds’. But this theorem is inapplicable in its current form, since one of its premises - voter independence - is notoriously violated. This premise carries responsibility for the theorem’s misleading conclusion that ‘large crowds are infallible’. We prove a more useful jury theorem: under defensible premises, ‘large crowds are fallible but better than small groups’. This theorem rehabilitates the importance of deliberation and education, which appear inessential in the classical jury framework.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Official URL: http://www2.lse.ac.uk/CPNSS/Home.aspx
Additional Information: © 2010 The Authors
Divisions: Government
Subjects: B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > B Philosophy (General)
H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
Date Deposited: 13 Dec 2010 13:15
Last Modified: 11 Dec 2024 19:00
Projects: The LSE Choice Group
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/30677

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