Aggregate and regional disaggregate fluctuations

Quah, Danny (1996) Aggregate and regional disaggregate fluctuations. CEP discussion paper; CEPDP0275 (275). London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance, London, UK.

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Abstract

This paper models uctuations in regional disaggregates as a nonsta- tionary, dynamically evolving distribution. Doing so enables study of the dynamics of aggregate uctuations jointly with those of the rich cross-section of regional disaggregates. For the US, the leading state| regardless of which it happens to be|contains strong predictive power for aggregate uctuations. This eect is dicult to understand if only ag- gregate disturbances aect aggregate business cycles through aggregate propagation mechanisms. Instead, a better picture might be one of a \wave" of regional dynamics, rippling across the national economy.

Item Type:	Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL:	http://cep.lse.ac.uk
Additional Information:	© 1996 the author
Divisions:	Centre for Economic Performance Economics
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
JEL classification:	C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Econometric Methods: Multiple; Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables; Endogenous Regressors > C33 - Models with Panel Data C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Econometric Methods: Multiple; Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables; Endogenous Regressors > C32 - Time-Series Models E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Date Deposited:	27 Apr 2007
Last Modified:	11 Sep 2025 03:40
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/2081

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