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What good is a volatility model?

Engle, R. F. and Patton, Andrew J. (2001) What good is a volatility model? Quantitative Finance, 1 (2). 237 - 245. ISSN 1469-7688

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Identification Number: 10.1088/1469-7688/1/2/305

Abstract

A volatility model must be able to forecast volatility; this is the central requirement in almost all financial applications. In this paper we outline some stylized facts about volatility that should be incorporated in a model: pronounced persistence and mean-reversion, asymmetry such that the sign of an innovation also affects volatility and the possibility of exogenous or pre-determined variables influencing volatility. We use data on the Dow Jones Industrial Index to illustrate these stylized facts, and the ability of GARCH-type models to capture these features. We conclude with some challenges for future research in this area.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/rquf20
Additional Information: © 2001 IOP Publishing Ltd
Divisions: Finance
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Date Deposited: 13 Nov 2008 14:23
Last Modified: 10 Apr 2024 22:21
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/18237

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