Forced labour in manufacturing and the local industry structure: the case of Italy

Denti, Daria and Iammarino, Simona ORCID: 0000-0001-9450-1700 (2025) Forced labour in manufacturing and the local industry structure: the case of Italy. Journal of Economic Geography. ISSN 1468-2702 (In Press)

Text (Forced labour and local labour markets - Denti Iammarino JoEG) - Accepted Version Pending embargo until 1 January 2100. Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (1MB)

Abstract

Do spatial socioeconomic features influence the demand for forced labour also in places where it is illegal and socially unacceptable? This paper provides an answer to this question by estimating the effect of the characteristics of the local industry structure on forced labour in manufacturing (FLM hereafter) using Italy as a case study. Conceptually, we bridge the literature on forced labour with economic geography to empirically test the effect of local industry specialisation and firm size. Exploiting a novel database of geo-tagged episodes of FLM across Italian Local Labour Market Areas, we find that industry specialisation and the share of micro-firms in the industry that specialises a place are key predictors for FLM. Instrumental variable estimates relying on novel data on the geography of Italian firms in 1911 show that results are robust to endogeneity threats. Findings also hold to the inclusion of potential confounding features, like the presence of migrants and institutional quality, and to spatial dependency tests. Moreover, results support the relevance of addressing the spatial dimension for a thorough understanding of FLM. Overall, the paper contributes to the currently scant quantitative evidence on the micro-regional determinants of forced labour in the Global North, which is still relatively unexplored.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	© 2025 The Author(s)
Divisions:	Geography and Environment
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > G Geography (General)
JEL classification:	L - Industrial Organization > L2 - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior > L25 - Firm Performance: Size, Diversification and Scope, Age, Profit, and Sales R - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics > R1 - General Regional Economics > R12 - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade R - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics > R2 - Household Analysis > R23 - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
Date Deposited:	20 Jun 2025 08:30
Last Modified:	20 Jun 2025 08:57
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/128498

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