General election polling goes geographical: the accuracy and value of constituency-level estimates

Johnston, Ron, Jones, Kelvyn, Manley, David, Pattie, Charles, Hartman, Todd K. and Rossiter, David (2018) General election polling goes geographical: the accuracy and value of constituency-level estimates. Democratic Audit Blog (06 Jun 2018). Blog Entry.

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Abstract

The 2017 general election saw a largely unremarked geographical extension to opinion polling, with three analysts publishing estimates of which party was likely to win in each of the country’s constituencies. Ron Johnston, Kelvyn Jones, David Manley, Charles Pattie, Todd Hartman, and David Rossiter have analysed their accuracy and considered the implications of that development for the conduct of future elections.

Item Type:	Online resource (Blog Entry)
Official URL:	https://www.democraticaudit.com/
Additional Information:	© 2018 The Author(s)
Divisions:	LSE
Subjects:	J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited:	24 May 2021 12:36
Last Modified:	11 Dec 2024 20:35
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/109691

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