European elections 2019: what will happen in the West Midlands?

(2019) European elections 2019: what will happen in the West Midlands? Democratic Audit Blog (21 May 2019). Blog Entry.

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Abstract

In 2014 the West Midlands region split its votes and seats three ways, with UKIP first and winning three seats, and Labour and the Conservatives somewhat behind and gaining two seats each. In 2019 all the polling indications are that this Eurosceptic region is getting strongly behind the new Brexit Party; it can be sure of winning three of the region’s seven seats, and might even win four. If they are held to three, then the other four seats are likely to be shared out evenly between Labour, the Conservatives, the Lib Dems and the Greens. The vote share gaps separating these parties are small, however, and there is enough polling volatility for the precise outcome still to change. With voters able to cast only a single vote for a party list, the Democratic Audit team reviews likely outcomes for the parties and the main potentially electable candidates.

Item Type:	Online resource (Blog Entry)
Official URL:	https://www.democraticaudit.com/
Additional Information:	© 2019 The Author(s)
Divisions:	LSE
Subjects:	J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited:	10 Feb 2021 11:39
Last Modified:	14 Sep 2024 02:41
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/108103

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