Why did the Conservatives' large lead in vote shares produce only an 80-seat majority?

Smith, Tim (2020) Why did the Conservatives' large lead in vote shares produce only an 80-seat majority? British Politics and Policy at LSE (15 Jan 2020), 1 - 4. Blog Entry.

Text (politicsandpolicy_ge2019) - Published Version Download (426kB)

• https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolic...

Abstract

Plurality rule voting systems have a well-known tendency to exaggerate the seats of the largest party. A full analysis of the 2019 results remains to be completed, but Tim Smith finds evidence that this time around the Conservatives had a modest 23 seat advantage over Labour in terms of two-party bias. The ‘leader’s bias’ advantage was also much smaller than that which Labour enjoyed in 1997-2005. This may mean that the future boundary reforms to equalize constituency sizes may not be as beneficial as the Conservatives hope.

Item Type:	Online resource (Blog Entry)
Official URL:	https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/
Additional Information:	© 2020 The Author
Divisions:	LSE
Subjects:	J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited:	30 Mar 2020 12:30
Last Modified:	11 Dec 2024 20:00
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/103875

Actions (login required)

View Item