Weidmann, Nils B. and Callen, Mike 
ORCID: 0000-0002-8408-1404
(2012)
Violence and Election Fraud: evidence from Afghanistan.
British Journal of Political Science, 43 (1).
53 - 75.
ISSN 0007-1234
Abstract
What explains local variation in electoral manipulation in countries with ongoing internal conflict? The theory of election fraud developed in this article relies on the candidates’ loyalty networks as the agents manipulating the electoral process. It predicts (i) that the relationship between violence and fraud follows an inverted U-shape and (ii) that loyalty networks of both incumbent and challenger react differently to the security situation on the ground. Disaggregated violence and election results data from the 2009 Afghanistan presidential election provide empirical results consistent with this theory. Fraud is measured both by a forensic measure, and by using results from a visual inspection of a random sample of the ballot boxes. The results align with the two predicted relationships, and are robust to other violence and fraud measures.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Official URL: | https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/british-jo... |
| Additional Information: | © 2012 Cambridge University Press |
| Divisions: | Economics |
| Subjects: | J Political Science > JA Political science (General) H Social Sciences > HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare. Criminology |
| Date Deposited: | 10 Jan 2020 11:48 |
| Last Modified: | 01 Nov 2024 19:12 |
| URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/103023 |
Actions (login required)
 |
View Item |
