The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions

Conway, Declan ORCID: 0000-0002-4590-6733, Nicholls, Robert, Brown, Sally, Tebboth, Mark, Ahmad, Bashir, Biemans, Hester, Crick, Florence, Lutz, Arthur F, Campos, Ricardo Safra De, Said, Mohammed, Singh, Chandni, Zaroug, Modathir Abdalla Hassan, Ludi, Eva, New, Mark and Wester, Phillippus (2019) The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions. Nature Climate Change, 9 (7). pp. 503-511. ISSN 1758-678X

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Abstract

Studies of climate change at specific intervals of future warming have primarily been addressed through top-down approaches using climate projections and modelled impacts. In contrast, bottom-up approaches focus on the recent past and present vulnerability. Here, we examine climate signals at different increments of warming and consider the need to reconcile top-down and bottom-up approaches. We synthesise insights from recent studies in three climate-sensitive systems where change is a defining feature of the human-environment system. Whilst top-down and bottom-up approaches generate complementary insights into who and what is at risk, integrating their results is a much needed step towards developing relevant information to address the needs of immediate adaptation decisions.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	© 2019 Springer Nature Limited
Divisions:	Grantham Research Institute Geography & Environment
Subjects:	G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Date Deposited:	23 May 2019 11:12
Last Modified:	15 Nov 2024 07:42
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/100866

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