Another reason Democrats will have difficulty retaking the US Senate this fall: Republicans' historical advantage in holding open seats

Brant, Hanna K., Overby, L. Marvin and Masthay, Theodore J. (2018) Another reason Democrats will have difficulty retaking the US Senate this fall: Republicans' historical advantage in holding open seats. USApp - American Politics and Policy Blog (24 Jul 2018). Website.

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Abstract

This fall, the Democrats face a challenging US Senate map, defending 25 seats to the GOP's nine. For some on the left, one ray of hope has been the retirement of four Republican Senators, leading to open seat contests. In new research, Hanna K. Brant, L. Marvin Overby, and Theodore J. Masthay suggest that this optimism may be misplaced. Studying nearly a century of Senate elections, and accounting for a number of other factors, they find that Republicans have a roughly ten percent advantage over Democrats in winning open Senate seat races.

Item Type:	Online resource (Website)
Official URL:	http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2018/07/24/anothe...
Additional Information:	© 2018 The Authors
Divisions:	IGA: United States Centre
Subjects:	J Political Science > JA Political science (General) J Political Science > JK Political institutions (United States)
Date Deposited:	11 Dec 2018 17:10
Last Modified:	12 Dec 2024 06:53
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/91235

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