Why the Republican Party should pray for rain this November

Horiuchi, Yusaku and Kang, Woo Chang (2018) Why the Republican Party should pray for rain this November. USApp - American Politics and Policy Blog (25 Jun 2018). Website.

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Abstract

Conventional wisdom suggests that bad weather benefits the Republican Party because it lowers turnout in general, but particularly among the Democrats. In new research, Yusaku Horiuchi and Woo Chang Kang argue that the difference in turnout caused by rain is not enough to explain the GOP's advantage. They find that poor weather actually makes it more likely that people will vote for a Republican over a Democrat: on rainy Election Days at least 1 percent of voting age adults changed their votes from a Democratic presidential candidate to the Republican.

Item Type:	Online resource (Website)
Official URL:	http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2018/06/25/why-th...
Additional Information:	© 2018 The Authors
Divisions:	IGA: United States Centre
Subjects:	J Political Science > JK Political institutions (United States)
Date Deposited:	22 Nov 2018 15:44
Last Modified:	13 Sep 2024 13:40
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/90689

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