Cassino, Dan
(2018)
Generic ballot measures, party candidate recruitment and the coming 2018 wave.
USApp - American Politics and Policy Blog
(29 Jan 2018).
Website.
Abstract
Using data on generic ballot results back to 1954, Dan Cassino argues that generic ballot measures are most useful in identifying the quality of candidates recruited by a party, not necessarily the outcome of the race. With Republicans expected to slightly underperform their standing on the generic ballot measure this year, the 2018 midterms could look like a wave election for the Democrats.
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