Oehmke, Martin ORCID: 0000-0001-9902-0711 and Zawadowski, Adam
(2015)
Synthetic or real? The equilibrium effects of credit default swaps on bond markets.
Review of Financial Studies, 28 (12).
pp. 3303-3337.
ISSN 0893-9454
Abstract
We provide a model of nonredundant credit default swaps (CDSs), building on the observation that CDSs have lower trading costs than bonds. CDS introduction involves a trade-off: it crowds out existing demand for the bond, but improves the bond allocation by allowing long-term investors to become levered basis traders and absorb more of the bond supply. We characterize conditions under which CDS introduction raises bond prices. The model predicts a negative CDS-bond basis, as well as turnover and price impact patterns that are consistent with empirical evidence. We also show that a ban on naked CDSs can raise borrowing costs.
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