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How a small team of academics correctly predicted a Trump victory

Vukovic, Vuk (2016) How a small team of academics correctly predicted a Trump victory. LSE European Politics and Policy (EUROPP) Blog (11 Nov 2016). Website.

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Abstract

Much like the UK’s vote to leave the European Union, few polling experts predicted Donald Trump would win the US presidential election. But this was not the case for all polling companies. Vuk Vukovic outlines a prediction model he developed with a small team of colleagues that proved remarkably accurate in calling the final result of the election and assesses how the method adopted could be used to provide more accurate predictions of future elections.

Item Type: Online resource (Website)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/
Additional Information: © 2016 The Author(s); Online
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: J Political Science > JC Political theory
J Political Science > JK Political institutions (United States)
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe)
Sets: Collections > LSE European Politics and Policy (EUROPP) Blog
Date Deposited: 04 Apr 2017 08:10
Last Modified: 01 Jul 2020 23:14
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/70110

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