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Why holding a presidential nominating convention in a swing state matters

Mann, Christopher B. and Uscinski, Joseph E. (2016) Why holding a presidential nominating convention in a swing state matters. USApp– American Politics and Policy Blog (25 Jul 2016). Blog Entry.

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Abstract

This week the media’s narrative shifts from Cleveland Ohio, the site of the 2016 Republican National Convention, to Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, where the Democrats are holding their convention. That nominating conventions provide a ‘bump’ in the polls for a party’s candidate is relatively well known – but is there an effect on the states and cities which are holding them? Research from Christopher B. Mann and Joseph E. Uscinski shows that party conventions can swing voters in nearby counties, which can in turn shift the statewide outcome in a close contest. Both parties, they write, get an electoral boost from nearby counties that heavily lean towards them, but can experience a polling backlash in counties which support the other side.

Item Type: Online resource (Blog Entry)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/
Additional Information: © 2016 The Authors, USApp – American Politics and Policy Blog, The London School of Economics and Political Science.; Online
Divisions: Public Policy Group
Subjects: J Political Science > JK Political institutions (United States)
Sets: Research centres and groups > LSE Public Policy Group
Collections > LSE American Politics and Policy (USAPP) Blog
Date Deposited: 16 Sep 2016 14:40
Last Modified: 31 Aug 2019 23:21
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/67768

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