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National polls and district information point to a 10 seat GOP midterm swing in the House to 244 seats

Bafumi, Joseph and Erikson, Robert S. and Wlezien, Christopher (2014) National polls and district information point to a 10 seat GOP midterm swing in the House to 244 seats. LSE American Politics and Policy (27 Oct 2014). Blog Entry.

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Abstract

This midterm cycle, much commentary has been focused on Senate races, given that the Republican Party looks very likely to hold and increase its seats in the House of Representatives. But how many House seats should the GOP expect to win? With a week to go, Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien give an updated House forecast. They write that a combination of the GOP’s incumbency advantage, their domination of state legislatures (and thus, redistricting) since 2010, and U.S. internal migration, mean that the Republican Party are likely to win about 244 seats on November 4th.

Item Type: Website (Blog Entry)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/
Additional Information: © 2014 The Authors
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
J Political Science > JK Political institutions (United States)
Sets: Collections > LSE American Politics and Policy (USAPP) Blog
Date Deposited: 27 Nov 2014 13:21
Last Modified: 27 Nov 2014 13:22
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/60319

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