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Early campaign economic perceptions can help to predict the national verdict on Election Day

Erikson, Robert S. and Wlezien, Christopher (2014) Early campaign economic perceptions can help to predict the national verdict on Election Day. LSE American Politics and Policy (21 Apr 2014). Website.

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Abstract

It is well known that elections are determined by certain fundamental variables: internal factors that reflect voters’ long-term political predispositions and external factors that are unique to each campaign. Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien examine how one external factor, the state of the economy, compares to how voters’ internal factors evolve over the final 200 days of presidential campaigns. They find that while noneconomic factors dominate at the outset of the campaign, the economic component increases in salience as Election Day draws nearer and offers greater electoral predictability overall.

Item Type: Online resource (Website)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/
Additional Information: © 2014 The Authors; Online
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
J Political Science > JL Political institutions (America except United States)
Sets: Collections > LSE American Politics and Policy (USAPP) Blog
Date Deposited: 11 Aug 2014 09:23
Last Modified: 11 Oct 2020 23:41
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/58831

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