The closing longevity gap between battery electric vehicles and internal combustion vehicles in Great Britain

Nguyen, Viet Nguyen-Tien ORCID: 0000-0002-7819-5069, Zhang, Chengyu, Strobl, Eric A. and Elliott, Robert J. R. (2024) The closing longevity gap between battery electric vehicles and internal combustion vehicles in Great Britain. Nature Energy. ISSN 2058-7546 (In Press)

Text (EV_Survival_accepted) - Accepted Version Pending embargo until 1 January 2100. Download (188kB)

Abstract

Electric vehicles are increasingly being adopted in Great Britain and other parts of the world, driven by the perception that they offer a cost-effective alternative to internal combustion engine vehicles while reducing emissions. However, a key element that underpins this perception is the longevity of electric vehicles, which remains relatively under researched. Here, we show that although early battery electric vehicles (BEVs) exhibited lower reliability than internal combustion engine vehicles, rapid technological advancements have allowed newer BEVs to achieve comparable lifespans, even under more intensive use. Longevity is also found to be impacted by engine size, location, and make of vehicle. We provide parameter estimates for life mileage that can be used to update life cycle assessment and total cost of ownership studies of different vehicle powertrains. Our results also shed light on BEV diffusion patterns, fleet replacement strategies, and end-of-life treatment planning, including the increasingly important debate around BEV battery recycling and second-life options.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	© 2025 The Author(s)
Divisions:	Economics Centre for Economic Performance
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HE Transportation and Communications H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Date Deposited:	03 Jan 2025 09:57
Last Modified:	07 Jan 2025 11:30
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/126554

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