The rise and fall of social democracy, 1918-2017

Benedetto, Giacomo, Hix, Simon and Mastrorocco, Nicola (2020) The rise and fall of social democracy, 1918-2017. American Political Science Review, 114 (3). 928 - 939. ISSN 1537-5943

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Abstract

We describe the electoral history of one of Europe’s most successful party families over the past 100 years in 31 countries. With a unique and newly collected dataset of national election results, and a large number of economic and social variables mea- sured for each country-election observation, we find that two main factors drive the electoral performance of social democratic parties: public sector spending, and the size of the manufacturing sector. Our findings suggest that most of the fall in support for social democratic parties in recent years is correlated with a decline in the number of industrial workers as well as a reduction in the propensity of social democratic parties’ core supporters (industrial workers and public sector employees) to vote for them.

Item Type:	Article
Official URL:	https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-p...
Additional Information:	© 2020 American Political Science Association
Divisions:	Government
Subjects:	J Political Science > JC Political theory J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General)
Date Deposited:	16 Apr 2020 09:45
Last Modified:	15 Nov 2024 21:33
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/104060

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