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Why did the Conservatives' large lead in vote shares produce only an 80-seat majority?

Smith, Tim (2020) Why did the Conservatives' large lead in vote shares produce only an 80-seat majority? British Policy and Politics at LSE (15 Jan 2020), 1 - 4. Blog Entry.

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Abstract

Plurality rule voting systems have a well-known tendency to exaggerate the seats of the largest party. A full analysis of the 2019 results remains to be completed, but Tim Smith finds evidence that this time around the Conservatives had a modest 23 seat advantage over Labour in terms of two-party bias. The ‘leader’s bias’ advantage was also much smaller than that which Labour enjoyed in 1997-2005. This may mean that the future boundary reforms to equalize constituency sizes may not be as beneficial as the Conservatives hope.

Item Type: Online resource (Blog Entry)
Official URL: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/
Additional Information: © 2020 The Author
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited: 30 Mar 2020 12:30
Last Modified: 29 May 2020 23:32
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/103875

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