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Wu, Z.M and Tong, Howell (1982) Multi-step-ahead forecasting of cyclical data by threshold autoregression. In: Anderson, O.D, (ed.) Time Series Analysis: Theory and Practice Pt. 2, Proceedings of the International Conference Held in Dublin, Ireland, March 1982. Elsevier (Firm), North-Holland, pp. 733-753. ISBN 0444865365