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Roulston, Mark S, Ellepola, Jerome, von Hardenberg, Jost and Smith, Leonard A. (2005) Forecasting wave height probabilities with numerical weather prediction models. Ocean Engineering, 32 (14-15). pp. 1841-1863. ISSN 0029-8018
Smith, Leonard A., Roulston, Mark S and von Hardenberg, Jost (2001) End to end ensemble forecasting: towards evaluating the economic value of an ensemble prediction system. Technical memorandum (336). European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK.
Roulston, Mark S, Ziehmann, Christine and Smith, Leonard A. (2001) A forecast reliability index from ensembles: a comparison of methods. . London School of Economics and Political Science, London.