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Lichtenstein, Sarah, Fischhoff, Baruch and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1982) Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980. In: Kahneman, Daniel, Slovic, Paul and Tversky, Amos, (eds.) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 306-334. ISBN 9780521284141