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Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

Aerts, J. C. J. H. and Botzen, W. J. and Clarke, K. C. and Cutter, S. L. and Hall, J. W. and Merz, B. and Michel-Kerjan, E. and Mysiak, J. and Surminski, Swenja and Kunreuther, H. (2018) Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment. Nature Climate Change, 8 (3). pp. 193-199. ISSN 1758-678X

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Identification Number: 10.1038/s41558-018-0085-1

Abstract

The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: https://www.nature.com/nclimate/
Additional Information: © 2018 Macmillan Publishers Limited
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Sets: Research centres and groups > Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
Date Deposited: 16 Mar 2018 15:46
Last Modified: 16 Mar 2018 15:50
Projects: 453-13-006; 452.14.005, ES/K006576/1
Funders: University of California, Economic and Social Research Council
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/87262

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