Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

Aerts, J. C. J. H., Botzen, W. J., Clarke, K. C., Cutter, S. L., Hall, J. W., Merz, B., Michel-Kerjan, E., Mysiak, J., Surminski, Swenja and Kunreuther, H. (2018) Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment. Nature Climate Change, 8 (3). pp. 193-199. ISSN 1758-678X

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Abstract

The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.

Item Type:	Article
Official URL:	https://www.nature.com/nclimate/
Additional Information:	© 2018 Macmillan Publishers Limited
Divisions:	Grantham Research Institute
Subjects:	G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Date Deposited:	16 Mar 2018 15:46
Last Modified:	16 Nov 2024 22:15
Projects:	453-13-006; 452.14.005, ES/K006576/1
Funders:	University of California, Economic and Social Research Council
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/87262

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