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A model of the confidence channel of fiscal policy

Guimaraes, Bernardo, Machado, Caio and Ribeiro, Marcel (2014) A model of the confidence channel of fiscal policy. CFM discussion paper series (CFM-DP2014-26). Centre For Macroeconomics, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

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Abstract

This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model where government spending affects aggregate demand directly and indirectly, through an expectational channel. Prices are fully flexible and the model is static, so intertemporal issues play no role. There are three important elements in the model: (i) fixed adjustment costs for investment; (ii) noisy idiosyncratic information about the economy; and (iii) imperfect substitution among private goods and goods provided by the government. An increase in government spending raises the demand for private goods and raises firms’ expectations about what others will be producing and demanding. The optimal level of government expenditure is larger when the desired level of investment is small, which we interpret as times of low economic activity.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: http://www.centreformacroeconomics.ac.uk/Home.aspx
Additional Information: © 2014 The Authors
Divisions: Centre for Macroeconomics
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
JEL classification: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy Formation, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, and General Outlook > E62 - Fiscal Policy; Public Expenditures, Investment, and Finance; Taxation
Sets: Research centres and groups > Centre for Macroeconomics
Date Deposited: 14 Dec 2017 15:29
Last Modified: 27 May 2020 23:39
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/86331

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