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The fiscal theory of the price level in a world of low interest rates

Bassetto, Marco and Cui, Wei (2017) The fiscal theory of the price level in a world of low interest rates. CFM discussion paper series (CFMDP2017-31). Centre For Macroeconomics, London, UK.

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Abstract

A central equation for the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) is the government budget constraint (or ”government valuation equation”), which equates the real value of government debt to the present value of fiscal surpluses. In the past decade, the governments of most developed economies have paid very low interest rates, and there are many other periods in the past in which this has been the case. In this paper, we revisit the implications of the FTPL in a world where the rate of return on government debt may be below the growth rate of the economy, considering different sources for the low returns: dynamic inefficiency, the liquidity premium of government debt, or its favorable risk profile.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: http://www.centreformacroeconomics.ac.uk/Home.aspx
Additional Information: © 2017 The Author
Divisions: Centre for Macroeconomics
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Sets: Research centres and groups > Centre for Macroeconomics
Date Deposited: 25 Oct 2017 08:04
Last Modified: 09 May 2020 23:36
Funders: Economic and Social Research Council
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/84951

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