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Who will turnout and who will not? The indicator that could make or break GE2017 poll predictions

Sturgis, Patrick and Jennings, Will (2017) Who will turnout and who will not? The indicator that could make or break GE2017 poll predictions. LSE European Politics and Policy (EUROPP) Blog (06 Jun 2017). Website.

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Abstract

Why do polling predictions for the UK’s general election vary so widely? Patrick Sturgis and Will Jennings argue that turnout might prove the be the pollsters’ Achilles heel in this occasion. Getting its weighting right is likely to be both more difficult and more consequential than it was in 2015, because the age gap in party support has increased since the last election.

Item Type: Online resource (Website)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/
Additional Information: © 2017 The Author(s)
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
J Political Science > JC Political theory
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe)
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited: 07 Jun 2017 11:24
Last Modified: 17 Aug 2021 23:23
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/80345

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