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Climate negotiators’ and scientists’ assessments of the climate negotiations

Dannenberg, Astrid, Zitzelsberger, Sonja and Tavoni, Alessandro (2017) Climate negotiators’ and scientists’ assessments of the climate negotiations. Nature Climate Change, 7. pp. 437-442. ISSN 1758-678X

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Identification Number: 10.1038/nclimate3288

Abstract

Climate negotiation outcomes are difficult to evaluate objectively because there are no clear reference scenarios. Subjective assessments from those directly involved in the negotiations are particularly important, as this may influence strategy and future negotiation participation. Here we analyze the perceived success of the climate negotiations in a sample of more than 600 experts involved in international climate policy. Respondents were pessimistic when asked for specific assessments of the current approach centered on voluntary pledges, but were more optimistic when asked for general assessments of the outcomes and usefulness of the climate negotiations. Individuals who are more involved in the negotiation process tended to be more optimistic, especially in terms of general assessments. Our results indicate that two reinforcing effects are at work: a high degree of involvement changes individuals’ perceptions and more optimistic individuals are more inclined to remain involved in the negotiations.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: http://www.nature.com/nclimate/
Additional Information: © 2017 Macmillan Publishers Limited
Divisions: Grantham Research Institute
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Sets: Research centres and groups > Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
Date Deposited: 07 Apr 2017 13:00
Last Modified: 20 Jun 2020 02:26
Projects: ES/K006576/1
Funders: Economic and Social Research Council
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/72990

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