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PM-Pendulum Model: Conservatives Edge Labour in Votes and Seats

Lebo, Matthew and Norpoth, Helmut (2015) PM-Pendulum Model: Conservatives Edge Labour in Votes and Seats. British Politics and Policy at LSE (02 Apr 2015). Website.

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Last week, a group of academics gathered at LSE to discuss a variety of forecasting models. In this post, Matthew Lebo and Helmut Norpoth, both professors of political science at Stony Brook University in New York, discuss their PM-and-Pendulum model. Their model favours the Conservatives in terms of parliamentary seats, though predicts that Cameron will not win a majority. Further, they suggest that the SNP is likely to win 41 of 59 Scottish seats.

Item Type: Online resource (Website)
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2015 The Author(s) CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General)
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited: 06 Apr 2017 13:39
Last Modified: 15 Sep 2023 19:57

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