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There are fewer people registered to vote in 2015 than there were in 2010: is that to Labour’s advantage?

Johnston, Ron, Pattie, Charles and Rossiter, David (2015) There are fewer people registered to vote in 2015 than there were in 2010: is that to Labour’s advantage? British Politics and Policy at LSE (02 Apr 2015). Website.

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Abstract

The 2010 general election result was considerably biased in Labour’s favour: if they and Conservatives had won equal shares of the vote total, Labour could have obtained as many as 54 more seats than their Tory opponents. This bias partly reflected unequal electorates across the country’s constituencies. Recently published data show that the number of registered electors nationally has since declined. But is Labour’s advantage still there? Ron Johnston, Charles Pattie and David Rossiter analyse those data and show that, unless the Conservatives win a lot of seats from Labour on 7 May, if the two parties are roughly equal in their number of votes Labour could again benefit from the inherent biases in the electoral system, perhaps by as many as 30 seats.

Item Type: Online resource (Website)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy
Additional Information: © 2015 The Author(s) CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General)
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited: 06 Apr 2017 13:23
Last Modified: 19 Sep 2021 23:33
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/72819

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