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Predicting the Brexit vote: getting the geography right (more or less)

Johnston, Ron, Jones, Kelvyn and Manley, David (2016) Predicting the Brexit vote: getting the geography right (more or less). British Politics and Policy at LSE (02 Jul 2016). Website.

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In April 2016 in two contributions to this blog Ron Johnston, Kelvyn Jones and David Manley predicted the likely geography of support for Brexit in the EU referendum. In this concluding piece they compare their predictions to the result. The general pattern of their predictions turned out to be very accurate, but regional differences were more pronounced than anticipated, with variations in both late electoral registrations and turnout introducing unexpected impacts on the geography of the outcome.

Item Type: Online resource (Website)
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2016 The Author(s) CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
H Social Sciences > HM Sociology
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited: 30 Mar 2017 10:26
Last Modified: 24 Oct 2021 23:44

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