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Why the UK’s pre-election polls got it so wrong: is it time to take probability sampling seriously?

Heath, Oliver (2015) Why the UK’s pre-election polls got it so wrong: is it time to take probability sampling seriously? LSE European Politics and Policy (EUROPP) Blog (14 May 2015). Blog Entry.

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Abstract

One of the key stories of the UK’s general election was the extent to which pre-election polling understated the true level of Conservative support in the electorate. Oliver Heath writes that while many of the lessons have been learned from the last major polling debacle in the UK in 1992, it may be time to take probability sampling more seriously.

Item Type: Online resource (Blog Entry)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/
Additional Information: © 2015 The Author(s); Online
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HA Statistics
J Political Science > JC Political theory
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe)
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited: 28 Mar 2017 15:31
Last Modified: 20 Jun 2019 23:21
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/71239

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