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Can we really not predict who will vote for Brexit, and where?

Johnston, Ron, Jones, Kelvyn and Manley, David (2016) Can we really not predict who will vote for Brexit, and where? British Politics and Policy at LSE (15 Apr 2016). Website.

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In a recent Guardian article, Simon Jenkins suggested that voter decisions regarding the EU referendum will be made on the basis of gut instinct alone, and that personal characteristics and previous party support provide no guide. Using a new modelling strategy applied to a large body of YouGov opinion poll data, Ron Johnston, Kelvyn Jones and David Manley address Jenkins’ claim, and find it wanting. The young and the well-qualified appear much more inclined to Remain than the elderly, and voting intentions to Leave seem to match, not surprisingly, support for UKIP.

Item Type: Online resource (Website)
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2016 The Author(s) CC BY-NC-ND 3.0
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Date Deposited: 28 Mar 2017 10:27
Last Modified: 14 Nov 2021 00:20

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